FVXX22 KNES 231318
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190123/1318Z
VAAC: WASHINGTON
VOLCANO: POPOCATEPETL 341090
PSN: N1901 W09837
AREA: MEXICO
SUMMIT ELEV: 17802 FT (5426 M)
ADVISORY NR: 2019/078
INFO SOURCE: GOES-EAST. MEXICO CITY MWO. WEB CAM.
NWP MODELS. ASH3D. CIMSS VOLCAT.
ERUPTION DETAILS: EARLIER ERUPTION AT 23/0305Z AND
NEW ERUPTION AT 1224Z
OBS VA DTG: 23/1252Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL230 N1913 W09829 - N1904 W09823
- N1859 W09833 - N1910 W09837 - N1913 W09829 MOV
NE 20-25KT SFC/FL300 N2245 W09601 - N2147 W09549
- N2144 W09617 - N2237 W09622 - N2245 W09601 MOV
NE 35-45KT
FCST VA CLD +6HR: 23/1900Z SFC/FL230 N2007 W09602
- N1935 W09550 - N1932 W09607 - N2004 W09617 -
N2007 W09602 SFC/FL300 N2433 W09245 - N2344
W09228 - N2339 W09237 - N2426 W09252 - N2433
W09245
FCST VA CLD +12HR: 24/0100Z SFC/FL230 NO ASH
EXP SFC/FL300 NO ASH EXP
FCST VA CLD +18HR: 24/0700Z NO ASH EXP
RMK: EARLIER VA EMS NOW TO FL300 CONT TO MOV NE
ACROSS THE SW GULF WITH S END BGNG TO DISP IN
STLT AND N END OF EM MIXING WITH WX CLDS BUT STILL
SEEN. NEW VA EMS AT 1224Z TO FL230 MOV ENE IN STLT
AND SEEN IN WEB CAM. HGT, SPEED AND MOV BASED ON
UPDATED MODEL GUIDANCE....KIBLER
NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20190123/1915Z
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